Since 2012, economic growth has been high, driven by private consumption which accounts for about 70% of the economy. Growth has also been sustained by rising demand for exports.
A deterioration of trade relations with China could negatively affect the ICT component supply side and confront US end-consumers with higher sales prices.
Despite increasing challenges a recovery of the exchange rate and a rather stable economic outlook for 2018 should help the ICT industry in the short-term.
Payment experience over the past two years has been good in the ICT sector and the level of insolvencies is low, with no major change expected in 2018.
Due to limited organic growth opportunities and the on-going economic uncertainty, market players strive to expand through acquisitions and specialisation.
Payment behaviour in the ICT sector has been good over the past two years, and the number of payment delays and insolvencies is expected to remain low.
In 2018, economic growth is expected to remain above 2%, sustained by domestic and international demand. The momentum is forecast to slow down in 2019.
Economic expansion remains broad-based, driven by private consumption and business investments, while export growth is sustained by the eurozone demand.
In 2018 and 2019 economic growth is expected to moderate somewhat but to remain robust, with private consumption and investment remaining the key drivers.
A potential downside risk would be another deterioration in house prices, given high levels of mortgage debt and banks’ exposure to the housing market.