Since 2012, economic growth has been high, driven by private consumption which accounts for about 70% of the economy. Growth has also been sustained by rising demand for exports.
A potential downside risk to the economic performance could be the high household debt in case of sharp house price decreases and interest rate increases.
British business insolvencies are expected to rise again in 2018, mainly affecting businesses active in the construction, retail and hospitality sectors.
The best way for smaller retailers to survive is to join a large purchasing association and to compete with e-commerce by providing outstanding service.
The business environment is highly competitive among the different distribution networks, reinforced by the increasing market share of online retailers.
The growing insecurity over US trade policy pushes the European Union and trading partners to speed up the completion of free trade agreement negotiations
De nieuwste uitgave van de (Engelstalige) Economische Update, met daarin een beeld van de huidige wereldwijde economische omgeving en de vooruitzichten door Atradius Economic Research.
In 2016 economic growth will decrease to 3% due to less agriculture output and decreasing exports. In 2017 GDP is expected to rebound again, growing 4.5%.
The economy still has room to absorb the oil price slump, but a long-term period of low oil prices would hurt. Economic diversification is on the agenda.
A moderate economic rebound is expected in 2016 and 2017, given that the domestic security situation will not again hurt tourism and business sentiment.
As the oil price decrease has a negative impact on government revenues and lending conditions, many businesses face liquidity issues and payment delays.